Will Zendaya wear Dolce & Gabbana at the Met Gala?
Probability
43¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$67.47
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 43¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 198h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 77.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 198.2h
- 17:49SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 198h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 43¢.
Biggest hourly move: +8.0pp at 2d ago (to 42¢).
Show all 3 hour-by-hour ticks
- 1d ago · +7.5pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · +8.0pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 41¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya wears pieces of clothing, jewelry, or accessories from the listed designer at any point during her appearance at the 2026 Met Gala, currently scheduled for May 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Zendaya does not attend the Met Gala, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve only after the Met Gala has concluded. No afterparties or later events will qualify; only appearances at the Met Gala itself will count. If the Met Gala does not take place by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be photos or videos of the event, or statements from Zendaya or her legal or social media representatives.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (77.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.