Sierra vs. Sonmez: Match O/U 22.5
Probability
42¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-8.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 9pp over 24h
Now 42¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $2.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 47¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 182.2h
Price movement
-8.5pp over the last 24h, now 42¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 41¢+3.0pp
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Set Handicap: Sonmez (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)
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Sierra vs. Sonmez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
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Sierra vs. Sonmez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
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Sierra vs. Sonmez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 39¢+0.5pp
Solana Sierra vs. Zeynep Sonmez: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Crypto · Vol $15.87
- 48¢+0.5pp
Sierra vs. Sonmez: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Solana Sierra and Zeynep Sonmez in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.