CryptoExpires May 3, 2026

Sierra vs. Sonmez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Probability

51¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$30.26

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 182h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 95.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 182.3h

    LOW
  • 18:43Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 182h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Solana Sierra and Zeynep Sonmez in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official WTA resultOfficial sports result
wtatennis.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (95.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.