SportsExpires May 3, 2026

Qinwen Zheng vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Probability

39¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

-23.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$2.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:02
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 24pp over 24h

    Now 39¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 181h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 22.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 181.0h

    LOW
  • 20:02Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 181h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 39¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Qinwen Zheng and Elena Rybakina in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA statistics.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (22.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.