Variable-Conscience
0x031345d6dd468805777367762eda31b4c5a867db
Quality score
94/100
Open positions
47
Open notional
$439.05
Total PnL
$29.79
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
114 shares @ 57.6¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$57.57
$-8.05
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
70 shares @ 43.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$56.35
$25.75
- NO
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
101 shares @ 20.9¢·now 36.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$36.99
$15.99
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
99 shares @ 36.5¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$36.94
$0.99
- NO
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
65 shares @ 47.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.97
$-3.57
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
22 shares @ 74.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.01
$3.30
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 18.8¢·now 18.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.85
$0.05
- NO
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 78.5¢·now 92.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$16.61
$2.49
- NO
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
18 shares @ 39.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$15.12
$8.13
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$14.00
$7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$29.168h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$7.008h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$26.408h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$2.709h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$7.309h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$4.209h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$5.019h ago
- YIELD$0.0014h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$4.6622h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.0022h ago
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$3.2522h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.0022h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Percent" 12+ times during healthcare event?$0.0022h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during healthcare event?$0.0022h ago
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$0.0022h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.0022h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $15.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.