Wicked-Meter
0x0f8e14bf947b35740738c56fc3c778e755693216
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$28.46
Total PnL
$-32.47
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?
18 shares @ 75.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.13
$-1.45
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.23
$3.73
- NO
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.75
$2.38
- YES
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.41
$-1.59
- UNDER
Club Tijuana vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$1.00
$0.50
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.54
$-4.46
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.40
$-0.33
- NO
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-6.09
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$3.00Jul 14, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMTrump's face on US gold coin by July 4?$13.49Jul 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?$10.00Jun 11, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?$13.74Jun 11, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$10.00Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$3.51Apr 28, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?$5.70Apr 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.32Apr 28, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$3.30Apr 28, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.50Apr 28, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$0.51Apr 28, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$2.55Apr 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$3.00Apr 28, 06:24 UTC
- SPLITWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$6.00Apr 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$5.70Apr 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$4.44Apr 28, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.00Apr 28, 05:55 UTC
- SPLITWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$9.00Apr 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?$3.08Apr 28, 05:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $4.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 01:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.