Extra-Large-Mug
0x1777b97ce00517d72dfb904ac670e504e7def809
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$260.60
Total PnL
$7.01
Realised
$3.24
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.25
$1.25
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$43.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.55
$3.55
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$18.70
$0.50
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
50 shares @ 37.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.24
$-1.25
- YES
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
23 shares @ 60.8¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$15.60
$1.44
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$9.53
$-0.53
- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 87.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$8.75
$0.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
28 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.12
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.53May 18, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.20May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.29May 18, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$19.05May 18, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$30.61May 18, 08:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$22.58May 17, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$2.16May 16, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$0.94May 16, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.65May 16, 15:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$17.32May 15, 03:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.00May 12, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$4.50May 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$0.01May 12, 07:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".