Quirky-Bog
0x185440afb0187306e24a7042f9a58d45deeb437e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-129.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on March 15?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 15?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 15?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or higher on March 15?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 15?
4988 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 15?
4260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 15?
3479 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 15?
579 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 15?
367 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 15?
354 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?$2.22May 2, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.74May 2, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump name "Massie" in April?$3.28May 2, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?$1.44Apr 23, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?$0.96Apr 23, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump name "Massie" in April?$1.28Apr 23, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.34Apr 23, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$3.60Apr 23, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$3.84Apr 23, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?$3.12Apr 23, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.60Apr 23, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$2.82Apr 23, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump name "Hillary" in April?$1.80Apr 23, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 77000?$2.10Apr 23, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$2.40Apr 23, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$2.28Apr 23, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$1.80Apr 23, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$2.28Apr 23, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$2.22Apr 23, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.10Apr 23, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.