Partial-Alloy
0x1c2fd949d60a4acde00172a5f3d3d9ebe65e32ae
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$19.40
Total PnL
$-1.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.1¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
8 shares @ 44.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.89
$-0.50
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.01
$0.03
- YES
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.40
$-1.55
- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$1.131d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX acquire Cursor?$2.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$2.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$3.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cursor be acquired before 2027?$2.001d ago
- REDEEMWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?$4.001d ago
- REDEEMWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?$8.641d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.394d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$1.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$1.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill Snapchat be acquired before 2027?$2.154d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.004d ago
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$1.004d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.744d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.004d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$0.004d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$0.014d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2.344d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.004d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.004d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.