0x4ca4d91e8c7e993f0df777458c972cb982e65c04
0x4ca4d91e8c7e993f0df777458c972cb982e65c04
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$149.51
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
38 shares @ 21.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$14.90
$6.98
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$11.17
$3.25
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
12 shares @ 67.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.76
$1.83
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
12 shares @ 68.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$9.49
$1.57
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
11 shares @ 71.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$9.09
$1.17
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
10 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.35
$0.44
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.26
$0.34
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
9 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.25
$0.33
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.10
$0.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 73.5¢·now 74.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.05
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$2.50May 13, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?$6.19May 12, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 12?$10.52May 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 12?$2.71May 12, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $300 Week of May 11 2026?$8.26May 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$8.16May 11, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$18.01May 11, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of May 11 2026?$1.92May 11, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.34May 11, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$6.00May 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$5.72May 10, 10:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$9.23May 2, 00:33 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $5.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".