Content-Competence
0x52b74441def3510e1839eadac7875423c0b54597
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$28.8K
Total PnL
$8.3K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
19509 shares @ 39.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.9K
$9.2K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11146 shares @ 40.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.5K
$4.1K
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
3427 shares @ 41.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$1.0K
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
979 shares @ 70.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$851.66
$166.42
- NO
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
20 shares @ 46.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.70
$7.33
- NO
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.75
$2.75
- NO
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.08
$3.08
- NO
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
13282 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$630.32Jul 17, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.9KJul 17, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$2.9KJul 17, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMKurds declare independence from Iran?$4.5KJul 17, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$547.78May 10, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$51.8KApr 25, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$5.0KApr 17, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$1.6KApr 16, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$465.58Apr 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$0.79Apr 14, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$237.00Apr 14, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$0.79Apr 14, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$0.79Apr 14, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$0.79Apr 14, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$4.55Apr 14, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$4.23Apr 14, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$4.39Apr 14, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$1.1KApr 14, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$53.90Apr 12, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.07Apr 11, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $524.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.