0x54282a5abd1ae35dfb55bc52b23c410e6ecb38ec
0x54282a5abd1ae35dfb55bc52b23c410e6ecb38ec
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$481.51
Total PnL
$-36.92
Realised
$-13.22
Win rate
24%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
63 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.22
$-0.32
- YES
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?
26 shares @ 53.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$17.03
$3.25
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
25 shares @ 58.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.63
$2.13
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
32 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.16
$-0.48
- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
30 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.45
$-0.15
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
23 shares @ 56.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.98
$1.87
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
28 shares @ 55.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$14.42
$-0.98
- YES
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
27 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$13.90
$-0.14
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
30 shares @ 46.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.75
$-1.05
- NO
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
37 shares @ 42.8¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$12.59
$-3.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.002h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.467h ago
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$6.937h ago
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $100 in May?$4.568h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$5.538h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$4.568h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.738h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.318h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?$4.568h ago
- TRADEBUYWill National Bank of Egypt Club win on 2026-05-13?$6.579h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?$6.359h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?$4.669h ago
- TRADESELLWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10?$6.6410h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$7.0510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Wadi Degla SC win on 2026-05-12?$5.7712h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.0212h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$4.2812h ago
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.7212h ago
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$6.0013h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.0013h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
