Embarrassed-Prophet
0x5486b8ae72bee876d9aa20e8a9178ec975c5970c
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$84.48
Total PnL
$-2.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
23 shares @ 69.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.55
$3.54
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
18 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.27
$0.27
- NO
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
9 shares @ 75.3¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.09
$-0.97
- NO
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.67
$0.67
- NO
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.01
$-0.99
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
12 shares @ 40.4¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.47
$-1.53
- NO
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.12
$0.13
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$3.07May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.00May 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.00May 20, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 20, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.00May 20, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$0.00May 20, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$1.16May 20, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$1.43May 20, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$6.15May 20, 04:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?$7.06Apr 25, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$6.78Apr 25, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.21Apr 25, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.76Apr 25, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.34Apr 25, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.09Apr 25, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1.08Apr 25, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 09:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.