Hoarse-Volatility
0x7b7f0e1a3c5e091acd0ddaaead1201f106573f4f
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-714.43
Realised
$-77.02
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
870 shares @ 94.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$850.94
$30.77
- YES
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
850 shares @ 17.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$64.15
$-82.28
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
500 shares @ 12.6¢·now 11.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.00
$-3.84
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
80 shares @ 12.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$44.00
$34.40
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.84
$-1.13
- NO
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$8.50
$-1.50
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by April 30?
544 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.54
$-24.44
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
257 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.70
$-20.42
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
1325 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-308.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
926 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-123.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$1.303h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$39.235h ago
- REWARD$0.2915h ago
- TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$38.011d ago
- REWARD$0.602d ago
- REWARD$0.333d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.883d ago
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.883d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$16.073d ago
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$16.063d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$165.713d ago
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$165.713d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$165.253d ago
- TRADESELLUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$165.253d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$62.003d ago
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$62.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$106.034d ago
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$14.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$12.9311d ago
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$18.5613d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $57.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 36d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.