0x8563a1186afb2c5b4208c350b13c23c998c7ebd0
0x8563a1186afb2c5b4208c350b13c23c998c7ebd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$10.27
Total PnL
$-94.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.88
$3.88
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.79
$-0.21
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
84 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.1¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$2.61
$0.16
- NO
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
14000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Trump say "No No No" during healthcare event?
4800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6PM ET
4640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during healthcare event?
2880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$0.04Apr 29, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 120 days or more?$1.19Apr 29, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill President Trump sign 6 pieces of legislation into law in March?$0.26Apr 29, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?$0.88Apr 29, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?$1.00Apr 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill President Trump sign 6 pieces of legislation into law in March?$0.48Apr 27, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in March?$0.83Apr 27, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 120 days or more?$1.00Apr 27, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 100 days or more?$1.40Apr 27, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?$1.40Apr 27, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.90Apr 27, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?$0.96Apr 27, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$3.00Apr 24, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$1.15Apr 24, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$2.00Apr 24, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?$2.00Apr 24, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?$1.03Apr 24, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00Apr 24, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 24, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 24, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.