Arctic-Thesis
0x8c7ccf2835f01e1ce32f03ab1478e9106b711439
Quality score
96/100
Open positions
39
Open notional
$988.16
Total PnL
$-13.08
Realised
$3.08
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
618 shares @ 89.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$571.83
$17.32
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
222 shares @ 87.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$163.33
$-30.00
- NO
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
116 shares @ 33.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$46.44
$8.18
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
44 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$40.44
$0.44
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.44
$0.63
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
22 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$19.00
$-0.11
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
30 shares @ 80.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.45
$-5.55
- NO
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
17 shares @ 93.7¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.30
$0.68
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
13 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.44
$0.32
- YES
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
22 shares @ 53.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.44
$-1.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$0.205h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$0.205h ago
- REDEEMLoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner$0.0013h ago
- YIELD$0.0414h ago
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner$0.001d ago
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Empoli achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$0.051d ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner$4.201d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$3.902d ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner$1.052d ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner$1.332d ago
- YIELD$0.042d ago
- TRADESELLLoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner$5.162d ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner$2.602d ago
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.252d ago
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.352d ago
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.352d ago
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.002d ago
- REDEEMLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$10.002d ago
- REDEEMDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Ivory (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A$5.002d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.