Outrageous-Goose
0x8d1153fcd831d3fb884ae8cb05984d2cd0c2239a
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$236.69
Total PnL
$-1.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
151 shares @ 33.1¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$59.60
$9.60
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 55.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.23
$5.23
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
65 shares @ 32.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.58
$1.58
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
28 shares @ 54.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.02
$7.02
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump post "Blockade" on Truth Social this week?
27 shares @ 18.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$14.78
$9.94
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.32
$1.32
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.65
$2.15
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
82 shares @ 12.2¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.08
$-2.92
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$6.33
$0.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.004h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- REDEEMWill "BEEF: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$0.001d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?$0.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$12.081d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?$5.173d ago
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$10.033d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% by the end of May?$5.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?$5.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "BEEF: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$6.003d ago
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Iran" this week?$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$20.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" this week? (April 20 - 26)$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Donald" or "Trump" this week?$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?$5.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$10.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Prize" on Truth Social this week?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?$0.003d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".