Polished-World
0xa432e519d2480521283d99555d5cfdfde7655082
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$86.69
Total PnL
$-3.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
3 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
3 shares @ 68.5¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 93.6¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.55
$0.55
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- STEFANOS TSITSIPAS
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$1.04May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$1.01May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.02May 18, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$2.33May 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$2.01May 16, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1.18May 16, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.35May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$1.00May 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?$1.01May 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 14, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov$1.27May 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek$1.41May 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov$1.01May 13, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek$1.01May 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$1.00May 13, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$1.04May 13, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$1.00May 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLCuban regime falls in 2026?$1.14May 13, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$1.22May 13, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.45May 13, 05:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".