Troubled-Administration
0xb4e09d812e074c6f1d7f6ce340d0cefc83312979
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$26.78
Total PnL
$-1.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.39
$0.39
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.44
$0.44
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
7 shares @ 28.9¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 17.3¢·now 18.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 61.9¢·now 63.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$3.268d ago
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$2.008d ago
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$1.228d ago
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.2310d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$0.0912d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.6412d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$4.3912d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$2.9512d ago
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$1.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$1.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.0013d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.9513d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$0.3813d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.0014d ago
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.0015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$2.0015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$2.0015d ago
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.3815d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 25d ago
- Last active
- 8d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.