Unaware-Bifocals
0xb609109ae5178aca2ec98ae8b317971b89b985f8
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$310.55
Total PnL
$-61.78
Realised
$20.51
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
96 shares @ 64.8¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.66
$-7.48
- NO
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
60 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.80
$4.20
- YES
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.23
$2.73
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
50 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.23
$0.13
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?
50 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.25
$2.75
- NO
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
80 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.20
$-3.61
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 82.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.20
$-16.60
- YES
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?
70 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?$42.503h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?$6.793h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$48.109h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$0.0011h ago
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.0011h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$0.0011h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$50.0011h ago
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$50.0011h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$60.0011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?$5.501d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$0.001d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$57.141d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$50.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$42.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$38.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$6.144d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$50.004d ago
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$30.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$44.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?$0.004d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $20.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".