These-Claim
0xbae78099818de91173558c8532b85d7cbf65a3f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$36.93
Total PnL
$-105.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
15 shares @ 41.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.28
$3.28
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
8 shares @ 79.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.19
$0.19
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.81
$0.81
- YES
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$3.15
$1.15
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.22
$-0.78
- YES
Trump weaponization fund blocked by June 30?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$3.06May 22, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.00May 22, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump weaponization fund blocked by June 30?$2.01May 22, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aisha Wahab advance from the CA-14 primary election?$1.00May 22, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02May 22, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2.00May 22, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikema Williams be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?$2.30May 22, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.47May 22, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.45May 19, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$2.17May 19, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.90May 19, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$12.71May 19, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$3.08May 10, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.26May 6, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$3.01Apr 27, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$1.15Apr 25, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$1.00Apr 21, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?$1.52Apr 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.00Apr 17, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.00Apr 17, 13:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 12:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".