Mountainous-Incident
0xbff8366a902f13547fb0c7112ba37fce612a7073
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-109.68
Win rate
17%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-01-19?
14640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.64
- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. Bulls
10320 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.32
- T1 ACADEMY
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner
10121 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-28.17
- CLEMSON TIGERS
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Clemson Tigers
10120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.12
- BLUE JACKETS
Senators vs. Blue Jackets
10120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.12
- PREDATORS
Sabres vs. Predators
10080 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.08
- OLE MISS REBELS
Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels
9253 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.25
- NO
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?
5880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
- FLAME SHARKS
Counter-Strike: Flame Sharks vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage
2483 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- YES
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-01-19?
994 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-44.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ? $1.66May 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$8.70May 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$6.52May 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$10.07May 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$10.48May 13, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$2.19May 12, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace reach the UEFA Conference League final?$3.44May 7, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pathé Ismaël Ciss record the most yellow cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$1.46May 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$11.71May 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$12.15May 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?$14.63May 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$16.88May 6, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$5.16May 6, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.56May 3, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$4.03May 3, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $160 end of April?$13.03May 3, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$15.00May 3, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft dip to $353 in April?$15.00May 3, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $3.00 end of April?$15.00May 3, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by May 15?$15.00Apr 29, 17:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.