Dapper-Sunlamp
0xcacf8f4b3135fd0b125eac3044068b5d6717115e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$1.0K
Realised
$180.16
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
1595 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$191.40
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1578 shares @ 25.8¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$902.62
- NO
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
231 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.81
$12.70
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
954 shares @ 37.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$81.09
$-271.96
- NO
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
65 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$65.00
$13.00
- NO
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
44 shares @ 92.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.38
$2.82
- YES
Canva IPO before 2027?
48 shares @ 22.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$-8.40
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 33.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.11
$-0.55
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
1 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMCanada recession before 2027?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?$38.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMHamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMCharleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$288.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be less than 2,000,000?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "HAMAS" during Board of Peace events on February 19?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $500M and $550M at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMAberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMLevante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "AG" or "Attorney General" this week on Truth Social?$531.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Oliver say "Europe" on Last Week Tonight?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 3 of the 2026 flu season be between 50 and 60?$0.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$762.00Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $255.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 23:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.