Linear-Brake
0xcca01e4aa7e892358ef10d98fd8ce3aa1ed35991
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-483.09
Realised
$19.40
Win rate
52%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- NO
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
179 shares @ 77.7¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$127.91
$-11.08
- NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
144 shares @ 84.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.31
$-3.93
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.09
$-7.82
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
132 shares @ 64.6¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$82.79
$-2.83
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
220 shares @ 65.2¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.30
$-63.11
- NO
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
72 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.60
$0.06
- YES
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
130 shares @ 55.3¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.66
$-2.95
- NO
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
72 shares @ 92.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.15
$-0.82
- NO
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
64 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.98
$0.11
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
60 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.99
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$18.00May 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.98May 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.76May 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.99May 18, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00May 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.00May 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.20May 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$19.64May 18, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00May 18, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00May 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$19.60May 18, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.40May 18, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.20May 18, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$12.89May 18, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$17.74May 18, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$6.75May 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$17.56May 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$8.62May 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$8.37May 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$19.54May 18, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".