Crazy-Purse
0xccc742d955700c56131340ea70a5f1097c4a5655
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$24.35
Total PnL
$-9.79
Realised
$5.37
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 64.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.83
$0.83
- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
4 shares @ 59.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.83
$1.32
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 16.4¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
7 shares @ 30.3¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$0.21
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Toulouse win?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.88
$-0.12
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
21 shares @ 9.6¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.51
$-0.49
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- NO
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$2.03May 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$2.29May 15, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toulouse win?$2.03May 15, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 15, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.10May 15, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.01May 15, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.04May 14, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by May 31?$1.92May 14, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 14, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.00May 14, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$3.56May 14, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 14, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$1.47May 14, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 11, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by May 31?$1.72May 11, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$1.01May 9, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.09May 8, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$1.35May 8, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 21:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".