Ripe-Pod
0xd0385ab1f5af08f8616413204f9f546bcf1f3142
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$340.94
Total PnL
$19.48
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
133 shares @ 18.8¢·now 34.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$46.20
$21.20
- YES
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
41 shares @ 64.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$28.22
$2.21
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
3 shares @ 92.7¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
3 shares @ 90.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
3 shares @ 65.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.72
$0.52
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
3 shares @ 71.4¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.46
$0.46
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
3 shares @ 86.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.34
$0.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMTony Gonzales charged by June 30?$1.16Jul 4, 13:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?$1.10Jul 3, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$1.01Jul 3, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$1.06Jul 3, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$1.04Jul 3, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$1.08Jul 3, 01:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seoul have between 110-120mm of precipitation in June?$1.03Jul 2, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$1.11Jul 2, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$1.20Jul 2, 01:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$1.16Jul 1, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?$1.29Jul 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.5B by June 30?$1.06Jul 1, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30?$1.14Jul 1, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in June?$1.06Jul 1, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in June?$1.05Jul 1, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in June?$1.14Jul 1, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canva have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.01Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 13:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.