Tremendous-Penalty
0xdf0850b029c97de282c491e91ce500384782cf97
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$504.63
Total PnL
$-493.61
Realised
$-475.94
Win rate
54%
97 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
40 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$40.17
$2.19
- NO
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
19 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$19.00
$2.85
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14 shares @ 81.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$13.72
$2.48
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.99
$0.35
- NO
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 70.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.99
$2.93
- NO
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.99
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10 shares @ 94.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$9.94
$0.47
- NO
Will Trump deport 800-900k people?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.88
$0.58
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.95
$0.05
- NO
Will Steve Simon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
6 shares @ 84.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$5.99
$0.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.02Jun 13, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$0.00Jun 12, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$0.00Jun 12, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$0.00Jun 12, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?$1.00Jun 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?$0.47Jun 11, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?$1.82Jun 11, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$5.00Jun 11, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMECB rate hike in 2026?$5.00Jun 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?$3.30Jun 11, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$3.04Jun 10, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?$0.03Jun 10, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?$4.00Jun 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?$0.10Jun 9, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?$0.12Jun 9, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US annex any territory in 2026?$0.48Jun 8, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?$1.00Jun 8, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?$0.50Jun 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?$0.32Jun 8, 03:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 97 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.