0xe82d1bddd6ae891fa8e87ae43730c58252dfd96b
0xe82d1bddd6ae891fa8e87ae43730c58252dfd96b
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$605.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1711 shares @ 62.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.7K
$631.62
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 16.8¢·now 34.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.0K
$541.83
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1700 shares @ 59.1¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$637.50
$-367.50
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
555 shares @ 85.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$555.43
$82.76
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
451 shares @ 85.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$450.64
$67.15
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$392.50
$142.50
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
74 shares @ 85.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$50.16
$-13.00
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
116 shares @ 41.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.04
$-37.32
- NO
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
66 shares @ 50.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.96
$-28.72
- TEAM FALCONS
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
522 shares @ 71.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-373.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner$195.56May 13, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner$29.66May 13, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner$1.59May 13, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner$3.70May 13, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner$2.85May 13, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner$143.63May 13, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$63.54May 6, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$731.52May 1, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$550.00May 1, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?$577.34May 1, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by May 15?$40.00Apr 29, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$297.50Apr 27, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$4.80Apr 27, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$285.00Apr 26, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$86.00Apr 26, 14:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.42Apr 24, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$413.11Apr 23, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$279.90Apr 23, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$53.28Apr 23, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$81.05Apr 23, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $102.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 11:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".