Emotional-Chaos
0xebed790d92b1f58f0529143fff5a5146ee5d8af0
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$671.84
Total PnL
$-99.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
135 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$125.39
$5.39
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
279 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$118.60
$-1.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.02
$8.02
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.56
$-8.44
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
226 shares @ 53.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.51
$-55.49
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
76 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$49.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?
47 shares @ 63.9¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$30.75
$0.75
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
222 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.33
$-16.67
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
125 shares @ 32.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.63
$-19.38
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
98 shares @ 28.7¢·now 21.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.49
$-7.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cuba" this week?$30.43May 17, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$120.00May 17, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$10.27May 17, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$130.54May 17, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$74.06May 15, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$60.72May 8, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.68May 4, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$28.00May 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$62.79Apr 29, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$120.00Apr 29, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$443.73Apr 29, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$100.00Apr 26, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$74.84Apr 26, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$421.00Apr 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$18.16Apr 16, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$281.69Apr 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$100.00Apr 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$12.00Apr 5, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$200.00Apr 1, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 1, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $92.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".