Lopsided-Vendor
0xf2a3aee3e288d216c69c9c3d956ac75e1bb88a8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$51.39
Realised
$2.60
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
208 shares @ 80.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$199.10
$31.10
- NO
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
132 shares @ 94.4¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$127.38
$2.36
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
98 shares @ 93.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$96.64
$5.64
- NO
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
94 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.34
$-0.66
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
84 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.30
$6.30
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
77 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$76.38
$2.12
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
84 shares @ 83.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.99
$-1.01
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
82 shares @ 67.2¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.50
$3.50
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
70 shares @ 84.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.76
$-2.06
- NO
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
56 shares @ 93.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.51
$0.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$25.02May 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$25.54May 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$7.04May 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$6.83May 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$25.08May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$25.57May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$26.07May 17, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$25.55May 17, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$1.01May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$20.04May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.04May 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.10May 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$15.07May 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00May 17, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.00May 17, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.75May 17, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$12.99May 17, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$33.42May 17, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.00May 16, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$30.06May 16, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $21.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 17:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".