Bold-Exit
0xf56a5957eb66a53dc8bbde501df2a665ac490316
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$30.09
Total PnL
$-18.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$3.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
3 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$3.22
$0.22
- NO
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 98.1¢·now 94.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 84.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.37
$0.37
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.28
$-0.72
- NO
Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
2 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.60
$0.21
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.33
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$1.00May 10, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$1.00May 10, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.01May 10, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$1.00May 10, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.00May 10, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.01May 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$2.01May 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.00May 10, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$1.10May 10, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$1.00May 9, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$2.01May 9, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$1.00May 9, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$1.00May 9, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?$1.03May 9, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$1.04May 9, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?$1.05May 9, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?$1.06May 9, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$1.09May 9, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$1.12May 9, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$1.32May 9, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.