0xfae9d51a613db16c42c0e25b18a3598d3c961092
0xfae9d51a613db16c42c0e25b18a3598d3c961092
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$51.80
Total PnL
$-23.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
410 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.65
$0.21
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
65 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.82
$-0.98
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20 shares @ 33.8¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.40
$-0.46
- YES
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
4 shares @ 28.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.49
$3.22
- YES
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
35 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.03
$-0.88
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
68 shares @ 4.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.59
$0.65
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
35 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.45
$-2.45
- NO
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 11.3¢·now 12.3¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$2.08
$0.18
- YES
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.85
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
118 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.59
$-1.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$2.94May 4, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.19May 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$1.96May 4, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.47May 4, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran legalize gay marriage?$9.81May 4, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.95May 4, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.96May 4, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$1.96May 4, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$1.96May 4, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.96May 4, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$1.96Apr 27, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.96Apr 27, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$4.90Apr 27, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$9.80Apr 27, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$4.90Apr 27, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.90Apr 27, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?$1.08Apr 27, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?$1.07Apr 27, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$1.27Apr 27, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.07Apr 27, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 19:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".