Will Mirassol win Brazil Série A?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$145.22
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5626h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5625.9h
- 18:04SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5626h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.3pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.
Biggest hourly move: -10.3pp at 2d ago (to 1¢).
Show all 8 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -7.6pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -7.7pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -10.1pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -10.2pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -10.3pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 3¢
- 2d ago · -7.9pp → 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Brazil Série A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Brazil Série A per the rules of Brazil Série A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Brazil Série A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 16, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.