Loading shell…
OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Jean Matteo Bahoya: Anytime Goalscorer

Probability

1h

-0.4pp

24h

-0.7pp

24h Vol

$5.00

Liquidity

$349.19

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 10:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:23
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $349 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 0h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 13:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 0.1h

    HIGH
  • 13:23Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:23Price

    Probability down -13.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -13.2pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -13.2pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -13.2pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -13.1pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -13.2pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -13.2pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -13.1pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -13.1pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -47.6pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -47.8pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -47.8pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -47.6pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -47.6pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -47.6pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -47.6pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -46.9pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -47.1pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -47.0pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -34.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -34.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -34.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -34.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -32.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -35.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and Eintracht Frankfurt, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jean Matteo Bahoya is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).