1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
Probability
64¢
1h
-11.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$337.52
Liquidity
$122.41
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 64¢; -11.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 26.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 0h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 13:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 0.1h
- 13:23SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:23PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 64¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 71¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 71¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 63¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 62¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 62¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 62¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 62¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 62¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 62¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 62¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 62¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 72¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 8 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).