Romelle Donovan: Anytime Goalscorer
Probability
8¢
1h
-1.6pp
24h
-2.6pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$181.26
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 8¢; -1.6pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 54h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 10.6¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 54h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 54.4h
- 12:33SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 54h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 8¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.0pp
to 3¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.2pp
to 3¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.5pp
to 3¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -48.0pp
to 2¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.5pp
to 3¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.9pp
to 3¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.3pp
to 3¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester United FC and Brentford FC, scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Romelle Donovan is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.premierleague.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (10.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).