Halle Berry as Storm?
Probability
25¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$24.00
Liquidity
$7.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $7.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5628.1h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 25¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 87¢0.0pp
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
Other · Vol $27.00
- 64¢0.0pp
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
Other · Vol $2.70
- 59¢0.0pp
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
Other · Vol $180.43
- 47¢0.0pp
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
Other · Vol $2.62
- 28¢0.0pp
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?
Other · Vol $59.09
- 83¢0.0pp
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
Other · Vol $186.49
- 78¢0.0pp
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 68¢0.0pp
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
Other · Vol $1.47
- 100¢+46.0pp
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand
Other · Vol $437.5K
- 36¢-0.9pp
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $365.4K
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $333.9K
- 56¢+1.0pp
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?
Other · Vol $284.3K
- 5¢-2.7pp
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Other · Vol $275.2K
- 11¢-0.5pp
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $265.3K
Market Description
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 18, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.