Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
Probability
57¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-1.2pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$57.16
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 57¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 97h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 78.3¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 96.7h
- 13:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 97h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.3pp
to 58¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 57¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 57¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.4pp
to 58¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 56¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 56¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 57¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 55¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 53¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 57¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 57¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 50.4pp
to 53¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 52.6pp
to 55¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 51.8pp
to 54¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 51.3pp
to 54¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (78.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).