Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
Probability
41¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$948.46
Liquidity
$43.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 41¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:05ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.9h
- 20:12SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 41¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
10- 49¢-0.5pp
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Other · Vol $47.1K
- 67¢+0.5pp
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Other · Vol $3.0K
- 53¢+1.0pp
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5
Other · Vol $28.7K
- 47¢0.0pp
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 16.5
Other · Vol $104.64
- 19¢-30.0pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.3M
- 100¢+22.4pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 47¢-10.0pp
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Other · Vol $784.6K
- 100¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $566.1K
- 47¢+2.5pp
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Other · Vol $532.0K
- 100¢+50.9pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Other · Vol $395.9K
Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for April 25 at 6:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.