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OtherExpires Jun 1, 2026

Over $150M committed to the Pharos public sale?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$322.25

Liquidity

$20.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:16
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 876h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $20.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 875.7h

    LOW
  • 16:16Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 876h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -14.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -14.0pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -13.8pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -19.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -15.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -21.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -31.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -31.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -33.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -34.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -37.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -39.7pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -39.7pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -39.1pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -39.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -39.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -39.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -39.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -39.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -39.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -41.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Pharos raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official Pharos raise page available at: https://port.pharos.xyz/sale If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.” If the sale is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jun 1, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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