Over $2M committed to the Pharos public sale?
Probability
1¢
1h
-1.9pp
24h
-11.1pp
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 11pp over 24h
Now 1¢; -1.9pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 878h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 878.4h
- 13:35SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 878h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.6pp
to 3¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.6pp
to 5¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.8pp
to 5¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.2pp
to 6¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.0pp
to 4¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.5pp
to 5¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 7¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 9¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 9¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 9¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 10¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 10¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.5pp
to 12¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 13¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 12¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 17¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Pharos raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official Pharos raise page available at: https://port.pharos.xyz/sale If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.” If the sale is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).