Over $80M committed to the Pharos public sale?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.7pp
24h Vol
$580.74
Liquidity
$21.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 876h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $21.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 875.7h
- 16:16SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 876h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:16PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 0¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.4pp
to 0¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 0¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.3pp
to 0¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.9pp
to 1¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 1¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.6pp
to 1¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.4pp
to 1¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.2pp
to 1¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.9pp
to 1¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.9pp
to 1¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.4pp
to 1¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.9pp
to 1¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.9pp
to 1¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.9pp
to 1¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.6pp
to 1¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.7pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.3pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.5pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.3pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.8pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.3pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.8pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the Pharos raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official Pharos raise page available at: https://port.pharos.xyz/sale If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.” If the sale is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).