Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

1. 1

   Up 2pp over 24h

   Now 71¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $20.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.