Will Munster win?
Probability
94¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
+13.0pp
24h Vol
$218.62
Liquidity
$3.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+45.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 13pp over 24h
Now 94¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $3.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 172.0h
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 94¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 95¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 95¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 95¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 95¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 95¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 95¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 95¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 95¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 94¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 82¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 82¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 94¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 94¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 81¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.0pp
to 90¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.0pp
to 90¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026 If Munster wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.unitedrugby.com/
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).