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OtherExpires May 6, 2026

Uber # of trips above 4B in Q1?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$53.02

Liquidity

$1.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 03:18
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 260.7h

    LOW
  • 03:18Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 261h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 6, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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