Will Colby Thicknesse win by KO or TKO?
Probability
52¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$76.55
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 177h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 87.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 176.6h
- 19:21SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 177h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.
Biggest hourly move: +5.0pp at 2d ago (to 52¢).
Show all 24 hour-by-hour ticks
- 23:00 · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 21:00 · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 20:00 · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 51¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colby Thicknesse defeats Vince Morales at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (87.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.