OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 23, 2026

Will "Blue Box" win Best Romance Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Probability

8¢

1h

-10.0pp

24h

-6.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$536.90

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:30
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 7pp over 24h

    Now 8¢; -10.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 653h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 14.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 653.5h

    LOW
  • 18:30Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 653h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-6.0pp over the last 24h, now 8¢.

Biggest hourly move: +17.0pp at 2d ago (to 30¢).

Show all 28 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:30 · -3.0pp → 8¢
  • 17:00 · +6.5pp → 18¢
  • 15:00 · +4.5pp → 17¢
  • 13:00 · +6.0pp → 18¢
  • 09:00 · +3.0pp → 13¢
  • 08:00 · +3.0pp → 13¢
  • 07:00 · +3.0pp → 13¢
  • 04:00 · +4.0pp → 14¢
  • 02:00 · +4.5pp → 15¢
  • 00:00 · +3.0pp → 14¢
  • 23:00 · +3.0pp → 14¢
  • 21:00 · +4.0pp → 14¢
  • 20:00 · +7.5pp → 18¢
  • 19:00 · +3.5pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 16¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · +4.5pp → 17¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 18¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 18¢
  • 2d ago · +5.5pp → 17¢
  • 2d ago · +17.0pp → 30¢
  • 2d ago · +7.5pp → 18¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 16¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · +17.0pp → 30¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventAnime Awards: Best Romance Anime Winner
Category · Other

Market Description

The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed title that wins the award for Best Romance Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed title which comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 23, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
crunchyroll.com
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

4 wallets
Open on Polymarket