Will Borussia Dortmund place 2nd for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
Probability
97¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.7pp
24h Vol
$33.91
Liquidity
$330.90
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 872h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 4.1¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 871.7h
- 16:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 872h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 92¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 83¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 89¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.1pp
to 85¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.9pp
to 83¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025-2026 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Bundesliga as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-2026 Bundesliga season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (4.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).