Will RB Leipzig place 2nd for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
Probability
25¢
1h
+20.1pp
24h
+24.3pp
24h Vol
$61.26
Liquidity
$177.54
Probability (last 7 days)
+24.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 24pp over 24h
Now 25¢; +20.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 875h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 48.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 875.4h
- 12:37SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 875h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 5¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 6¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.4pp
to 20¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.9pp
to 21¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.4pp
to 20¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.1pp
to 20¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.9pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025-2026 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Bundesliga as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-2026 Bundesliga season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (48.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).