Will David Tulley win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 1400h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $7.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.